Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLLY-14
in Mexico
02 Sep 2014 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone DOLLY-14 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
      Maximum storm surge n.a.
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 84 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
      Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        84 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 01 Sep 2014 21:00 74 No people No people Mexico
          Green 2 02 Sep 2014 03:00 74 No people No people Mexico
          Green 3 02 Sep 2014 09:00 84 No people No people Mexico

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 9/1/2014 9:00:00 PM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 20.1, -93.6
            green
            		 2 9/2/2014 3:00:00 AM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 21, -93.9
            green
            		 3 9/2/2014 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 22.6, -94.8
            green
            		 3 9/2/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people 1.3 million people 23.1, -95.9 Mexico
            green
            		 3 9/3/2014 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people 2 million people 23.7, -97.5 Mexico
            green
            		 3 9/3/2014 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 24.1, -98.9 Mexico
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Mexico Nuevo Leon
            Mexico San Luis Potosi
            Mexico Tamaulipas
            Mexico Veracruz

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Ciudad Victoria Tamaulipas Mexico Major city -
            Tampico Tamaulipas Mexico Major city 310000 people
            Tula Tamaulipas Mexico City 8900 people
            Ciudada Mante Tamaulipas Mexico City -
            Cuauhtemoc Tamaulipas Mexico City 5600 people
            Linares Nuevo León Mexico City 57000 people
            Abasolo Tamaulipas Mexico City 6700 people
            Montemorelos Nuevo León Mexico City 38000 people

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.